Eighth Billion

Country record

Born in Tuvalu: the life the odds give you

The chance of being born in Tuvalu is 1 in 584,559 — < 0.001% of the 132.1 million babies born worldwide in 2023.

Formula: 226 births in Tuvalu in 2023 ÷ 132,110,261 births worldwide in 2023

UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant

Life expectancy and survival

A child born in Tuvalu in 2023 could expect 67.1 years. The world figure that year was 70.3.

Female born in Tuvalu in 2023: 70.7 years. Male born in Tuvalu in 2023: 63.8 years. −3.1 years compared with the world figure.

Where the deaths fall

Of 1,000 babies born in Tuvalu in 2023, this many have died by each age.

Survival curve for Tuvalu in 2023: the share of a birth cohort still alive at each age from 0 to 100.Half of all deaths fall between 58 and 81.0%50%100%050100
Median age at death
71.5
Share reaching 65
6,421.0%

Survive to 20 here, and your chance of reaching 65 is 66.5%.

Formula: l(65) ÷ l(20)

Of 1,000 babies born in Tuvalu in 2023, this many have died by each age.
AgeDeaths per 1,000 born, by age band
0–116.1 / 1,000
1–53.6 / 1,000
5–156.5 / 1,000
15–50131.8 / 1,000
50–65199.9 / 1,000
65–80370.7 / 1,000
80–100269.7 / 1,000

How the 1 in 584,559 is calculated

Two published numbers, one division.

How the 1 in 584,559 is calculated
ValueYear
Births in Tuvalu, 2023226
Births worldwide, 2023132,110,261
Share of world births0.0002%
The odds1 in 584,559

Why this differs from numbers you may have seen elsewhere

Two things change the answer: which year you use, and whether the denominator is births or people alive. We use births in the same year as the numerator, over all 237 locations the UN publishes. A figure sampled over people alive answers a different question — the odds a living person is from that country — and will always be larger for large countries.

The weights used for sampling sum to 132,110,261 births, so no location is silently excluded.

Childhood

19.7 of every 1,000 children born in Tuvalu die before their fifth birthday.

That is about 1 in 51.
19.7 / 1,000
Infant mortality: 16.1 per 1,000 live births.
16.1 / 1,000
Share reaching their 15th birthday: 9,738.0%.
9,738.0%
Total fertility rate
3.21

World Bank World Development Indicators, 2023.

The past: 1950 to 2023

Life expectancy in Tuvalu has moved +27.1 years since 1950, when it was 40.0.

Tuvalu crossed 60 years of life expectancy in 1980.

Life expectancy at birth

Life expectancy in Tuvalu from 1950 to 2023.Life expectancy in Tuvalu has moved +27.1 years since 1950, when it was 40.0.40.053.667.1 years19502023

Births per year

Births in Tuvalu peaked at 309 in 1987. In 2023 there were 226.

Births per yearBirths in Tuvalu peaked at 309 in 1987. In 2023 there were 226.0.0155309 Births19502023Play a life born here in 1970

Where Tuvalu sits

Birth Lottery Index

A girl born in Tuvalu in 2023 sits at the 28th percentile of the world's life-expectancy distribution, weighting every country by its own births.

Formula: the birth-weighted share of the 237 locations whose female life expectancy is at or below 67.10 years.

Rank by births: 224 of 237.
226
Rank by life expectancy: 194 of 237.
67.1
Rank by under-5 mortality: 156 of 237.
19.7

Population and migration

Population
9,816 (2023)
Median age
24.3 years (2023)
Urban share
64.0 % (2023)
Population density
327.2 /km² (2023)
Net migration
-323 (2023)
Population of Tuvalu from 1950 to 2023.Population in 2023: 9,816.0.0550111k Population19502023

Nearby and similar countries

Other locations in Polynesia, and one with a similar life expectancy.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of being born in Tuvalu?
584,559 of being born here. in 2023 — 226 of the 132,110,261 babies born worldwide that year.
How long does a child born in Tuvalu live?
Life expectancy at birth in 2023 was 67.1 years: 70.7 for girls and 63.8 for boys. That is a population average, not a promise to any individual.
What is child mortality like in Tuvalu?
19.7 of every 1,000 children die before their fifth birthday, which is about 1 in 51.
Can I play a life born in Tuvalu?
Yes — the button at the top of this page draws a birth in Tuvalu, and you can choose any year from 1950 to 2023.
Where does this page's data come from?
UN World Population Prospects 2024 for births, population, and life tables; World Bank World Development Indicators for income, urbanisation, education, and cause-of-death composition. Every figure names its year.

Data and licence

The figures on this page are derived from the Eighth Billion dataset v1.

Source data is used under its publishers' licences and attributed on every page that displays it.

Play a life born in Tuvalu

Pick a year between 1950 and 2023, or let it be drawn.

Play a life born in Tuvalu

Eighth Billion simulates the odds of a birth. It does not predict any person's life, health, or lifespan.

2026-10-25