Eighth Billion

Country record

Born in Afghanistan: the life the odds give you

The chance of being born in Afghanistan is 1 in 90 — 1.112% of the 132.1 million babies born worldwide in 2023.

Formula: 1,469,029 births in Afghanistan in 2023 ÷ 132,110,261 births worldwide in 2023

UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant

Life expectancy and survival

A child born in Afghanistan in 2023 could expect 66.0 years. The world figure that year was 70.3.

Female born in Afghanistan in 2023: 67.5 years. Male born in Afghanistan in 2023: 64.5 years. −4.2 years compared with the world figure.

Where the deaths fall

Of 1,000 babies born in Afghanistan in 2023, this many have died by each age.

Survival curve for Afghanistan in 2023: the share of a birth cohort still alive at each age from 0 to 100.Half of all deaths fall between 60 and 81.0%50%100%050100
Median age at death
72.5
Share reaching 65
6,693.0%

Survive to 20 here, and your chance of reaching 65 is 72.2%.

Formula: l(65) ÷ l(20)

Of 1,000 babies born in Afghanistan in 2023, this many have died by each age.
AgeDeaths per 1,000 born, by age band
0–143.9 / 1,000
1–512.3 / 1,000
5–159.4 / 1,000
15–5097.1 / 1,000
50–65168.0 / 1,000
65–80395.4 / 1,000
80–100273.2 / 1,000

How the 1 in 90 is calculated

Two published numbers, one division.

How the 1 in 90 is calculated
ValueYear
Births in Afghanistan, 20231,469,029
Births worldwide, 2023132,110,261
Share of world births1.1120%
The odds1 in 90

Why this differs from numbers you may have seen elsewhere

Two things change the answer: which year you use, and whether the denominator is births or people alive. We use births in the same year as the numerator, over all 237 locations the UN publishes. A figure sampled over people alive answers a different question — the odds a living person is from that country — and will always be larger for large countries.

The weights used for sampling sum to 132,110,261 births, so no location is silently excluded.

Childhood

56.2 of every 1,000 children born in Afghanistan die before their fifth birthday.

That is about 1 in 18.
56.2 / 1,000
Infant mortality: 44.0 per 1,000 live births.
44.0 / 1,000
Share reaching their 15th birthday: 9,344.0%.
9,344.0%
Total fertility rate
4.84

World Bank World Development Indicators, 2023.

The past: 1950 to 2023

Life expectancy in Afghanistan has moved +37.9 years since 1950, when it was 28.2.

Afghanistan crossed 60 years of life expectancy in 2009.

Life expectancy at birth

Life expectancy in Afghanistan from 1950 to 2023.Life expectancy in Afghanistan has moved +37.9 years since 1950, when it was 28.2.28.247.166.0 years19502023

Births per year

Births in Afghanistan peaked at 1,469,029 in 2023. In 2023 there were 1,469,029.

Births per yearBirths in Afghanistan peaked at 1,469,029 in 2023. In 2023 there were 1,469,029.0.0735k1.5m Births19502023Play a life born here in 1970

Cause of death

Of all deaths recorded in Afghanistan in 2023, this is how they divide.

Of all deaths recorded in Afghanistan in 2023, this is how they divide.
Cause of deathValue
Communicable, maternal, perinatal and nutritional34.7%
Non-communicable40.7%
Injuries24.6%
This is the composition of deaths in the whole population. It is not a prediction for any one person: the simulation assigns a cause group only, and says so.

World Bank WDI, WHO-origin cause-of-death shares, 2019.

Where Afghanistan sits

Birth Lottery Index

A girl born in Afghanistan in 2023 sits at the 23th percentile of the world's life-expectancy distribution, weighting every country by its own births.

Formula: the birth-weighted share of the 237 locations whose female life expectancy is at or below 66.03 years.

Rank by births: 18 of 237.
1,469,029
Rank by life expectancy: 204 of 237.
66.0
Rank by under-5 mortality: 214 of 237.
56.2

Population and migration

Population
41,454,761 (2023)
Median age
16.9 years (2023)
Urban share
25.5 % (2023)
Population density
63.8 /km² (2023)
Net migration
-48,958 (2023)
Population of Afghanistan from 1950 to 2023.Population in 2023: 41,454,761.0.020.7m41.5m Population19502023

Nearby and similar countries

Other locations in Southern Asia, and one with a similar life expectancy.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of being born in Afghanistan?
90 of being born here. in 2023 — 1,469,029 of the 132,110,261 babies born worldwide that year.
How long does a child born in Afghanistan live?
Life expectancy at birth in 2023 was 66.0 years: 67.5 for girls and 64.5 for boys. That is a population average, not a promise to any individual.
What is child mortality like in Afghanistan?
56.2 of every 1,000 children die before their fifth birthday, which is about 1 in 18.
Can I play a life born in Afghanistan?
Yes — the button at the top of this page draws a birth in Afghanistan, and you can choose any year from 1950 to 2023.
Where does this page's data come from?
UN World Population Prospects 2024 for births, population, and life tables; World Bank World Development Indicators for income, urbanisation, education, and cause-of-death composition. Every figure names its year.

Data and licence

The figures on this page are derived from the Eighth Billion dataset v1.

Source data is used under its publishers' licences and attributed on every page that displays it.

Play a life born in Afghanistan

Pick a year between 1950 and 2023, or let it be drawn.

Play a life born in Afghanistan

Eighth Billion simulates the odds of a birth. It does not predict any person's life, health, or lifespan.

2026-10-25